In the play Julius Caesar by William Shakespeare, the character Julius Caesar utters these words when he is assassinated… “Et tu, Brute,” which means “and you, Brutus?” A trusted confidant had turned on him.
On the evening of November 3rd, no one should be surprised when Joe Biden utters the phrase, “Et tu, Donkey?”
Since 1856 and the birth of the Republican Party, there have been 40 presidential elections between the two political parties. Twenty-one of those involved incumbents up for re-election. In those twenty-one contests, fourteen won and seven were not re-elected.
Let’s look at these contests where the incumbent lost:
1888—Grover Cleveland (D) was up for re-election, lost to Benjamin Harrison (R)
1892—Benjamin Harrison (R) lost to, drum-roll, Grover Cleveland (D)
1912—William Howard Taft (R) lost to Woodrow Wilson (D) and to third party candidate Theodore Roosevelt
1932—Herbert Hoover (R) lost to Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)
1976—Gerald Ford (R) lost to Jimmy Carter (D); this is borderline; it is true that Ford was the incumbent, but he was was first appointed Vice-President and then succeeded to the presidency when Nixon resigned—so, technically he was not up for “re-election,” having never been elected.
1980—Jimmy Carter (D) lost to Ronald Reagan (R)
1992—George H.W. Bush (R) lost to Bill Clinton (D)
The contests in which the incumbent won: 1864, 1872, 1900, 1924, 1936, 1940, 1944, 1948, 1956, 1964, 1972, 1984, 1996, 2004, and 2012 all saw the opposition party nominate weak candidates. Candidates that were not representative of the future of the party were “thrown-under-the-bus.” At 70+ and of dubious mental capacity, Joe Biden is not the future of the Democratic Party… here comes the bus!
The weak opposition candidates:
1864: George McClellan lost to Abraham Lincoln.
1872: Horace Greeley, who died before the election happened, lost to U.S. Grant.
1900: William Jennings Bryant lost to William McKinley
1924: John William Davis lost to Calvin Coolidge
1936: Alfred Landon lost to Franklin Roosevelt
1940: Wendell Willkie lost to Franklin Roosevelt
1944: Thomas Dewey lost to Franklin Roosevelt
1948: Thomas Dewey lost to Harry Truman
1956: Adlai Stevenson lost to Dwight Eisenhower
1964: Barry Goldwater lost to Lyndon B. Johnson
1972: George McGovern lost to Richard Nixon
1984: Walter Mondale lost to Ronald Reagan
1996: Bob Dole lost to Bill Clinton
2004: John Kerry lost to George W. Bush
2012: Mitt Romney lost to Barak Obama.
The point is: all these candidates from McClellan to Romney were weak candidates.
Joe Biden is a weak candidate. Donald Trump in a strong incumbent. Forget the polls, Trump has this election in the bag. In fact, I will assert that the Democratic Party is nominating Biden because, deep-down, they know they cannot win. History is against them, not to mention the strength of Trump. In spite of what the Democrats may say, they have known this from day-one of the 2020 election. So, in a sense, the Democratic Party has betrayed Joe Biden. And who is the power-broker in the Democratic Party—his name begins with “O.”
Et tu, Donkey?
Here’s my early prediction on the electoral college:
I think that even Virginia might go to Trump.
Biden 220 – Trump 318
The election of 2024 will be when the Democrats bring out the serious candidates. I think that Governor Cuomo will be a candidate, though not the favorite. For reasons that are not clear, other than they want to win, the two big names for the Democratic Party in 2024 will be Oprah Winfrey and Michelle Obama—neither are qualified to be president. In the wings, and a possible VP candidate in 2024, will be Aexandria Ocasio-Cortez (provided she doesn’t implode by then).
For Republicans in 2024, I think the nominee will be Nikki Haley; also rans will be Donald Trump, Jr., Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and perhaps a few others. And folks, don’t count out Ivanka Trump, but I think 2024 is too early for she or her brother.